Musk Elon

#8 of the rankingPerson25 purchases analyzed

R-coefficient

0.822

skill with Bayesian shrinkage

60d win rate

100%

% of purchases with positive return

Avg 60d return

+12.4%

after their purchases

🧱 Conviction tranches

Repeated purchases of the same stock within ≤5 days — an accumulation pattern.

Ticker	Date	Trades	Span	Shares	Amount
TSLA	2025-09-12	1	1d	2.568.732	$1000.0M
TSLA	2020-02-14	1	1d	13.037	$10.0M
TSLA	2019-05-02	1	1d	102.880	$25.0M
TSLA	2018-10-29	1	1d	29.844	$10.0M
TSLA	2018-06-12 → 2018-06-13	2	2d	72.500	$24.9M
TSLA	2018-05-07	1	1d	33.000	$9.9M
TSLA	2017-03-17	1	1d	95.420	$25.0M
TSLA	2015-08-19	1	1d	82.645	$20.0M

Later sales by the same insider on the same ticker — realized gain vs average buy price. Empty = position still held.

Date	Ticker	Role	Shares	Avg price	Amount	Sales	Avg sell price	Gain %
2025-09-12	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	2.568.732	$389.28	$1000.0M	0	—	—
2020-02-14	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	13.037	$767.00	$10.0M	13.037	$1166.98	+52.1%
2019-05-02	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	102.880	$243.00	$25.0M	102.880	$1171.57	+382.1%
2018-10-29	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	29.844	$334.98	$10.0M	29.844	$1167.91	+248.6%
2018-06-13	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	17.500	$345.63	$6.0M	17.500	$1170.91	+238.8%
2018-06-12	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	55.000	$343.19	$18.9M	55.000	$1186.95	+245.9%
2018-05-07	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	33.000	$298.50	$9.9M	33.000	$1171.48	+292.5%
2017-03-17	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	95.420	$262.00	$25.0M	95.420	$1165.46	+344.8%
2015-08-19	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	82.645	$242.00	$20.0M	82.645	$213.22	-11.9%
2013-05-30	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	1.084.129	$92.24	$100.0M	1.084.129	$213.22	+131.2%
2012-10-03	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	35.398	$28.25	$1000K	35.398	$213.22	+654.8%
2011-06-08	TSLA	Director, Officer(Chief Executive Officer), 10% Owner	1.416.000	$28.76	$40.7M	1.416.000	$213.22	+641.4%