αTheAlphaInsider

Cairns Craig D.

Outside the top-25 by R-coefficient, but with purchase history.

R-coefficient
skill with Bayesian shrinkage
60d win rate
% of purchases with positive return
Avg 60d return
after their purchases

🧱 Conviction tranches

Repeated purchases of the same stock within ≤5 days — an accumulation pattern.

TickerDateTradesSpanSharesAmount
TRNS2026-08-0611d1050$99K
TRNS2025-01-3111d1200$92K
TRNS2023-11-0711d1140$100K
TRNS2022-02-1511d660$51K
TRNS2021-05-2111d1750$101K

Purchase history

Later sales by the same insider on the same ticker — realized gain vs average buy price. Empty = position still held.

DateTickerRoleSharesAvg priceAmountSalesAvg sell priceGain %
2026-08-06TRNSDirector1050$93.97$99K
2025-01-31TRNSDirector1200$77.02$92K0
2023-11-07TRNSDirector1140$87.92$100K0
2022-02-15TRNSDirector660$77.52$51K
2021-05-21TRNSDirector1750$57.85$101K